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Victory over Rent Control
A
historic vote
Cambridge
voters slam rent control
A
landslide 61.4% of voters said “NO”
On November 4, 2003, Cambridge
citizens voted 61% to 39% against a ballot question that aimed to
reinstate rent control locally, a landslide defeat in this famously
liberal city. The vote was 12,467 against and 7, 832 in favor of the
ballot question. The Small Property Owners Association lead this
successful campaign to defeat rent control.
The
Small Property Owners Association was the chief architect of the
campaign that persuaded over 61% of Cambridge voters to say “NO”
to a return of rent control. This
decisive popular vote was a sea change for this ultra-liberal city
that had been forced by the 1994 statewide referendum known as
Question 9 to give up a politically entrenched but divisive rent
control system that had endured for 25 years as one of the most
stringent systems in the country. SPOA also spearheaded Question 9.
Last
February, activists first announced their petition signature drive to
reinstate rent control starting with a local ballot referendum. From
the beginning, SPOA knew it was important for the referendum to fail
in a popular vote rejecting it, not by a mere legal technicality nor
by higher authorities rejecting it.
Dangerous
thinking
During
the campaign, others often pointed out that the Eviction Free Zone’s
proposal had no chance of success anyway because (1) the Legislature
would never pass it, (2) the Governor would never sign it, and (3)
even a majority of Cambridge voters saying “yes” to rent control
would never reach the legally required number of “yes” votes –
33% of all registered voters – to
make the referendum binding and require the Cambridge
City Council to send the voter-approved home-rule petition to the
Legislature.
But
to us, all this no-chance-of-success talk was dangerous thinking. A
popular majority vote in favor of rent control, even if
technically non-binding, would be bad. It would be pressure on the
City Council to send a rent control petition up to the State
Legislature anyway. We would then be dependent on the Legislature to
stop it or, worse yet, on a Republican governor to veto it. Worst of
all, a popular majority vote in favor of rent control could mobilize a
new tenant movement that would keep the rent control pressure up for
many years to come. That was the real goal of the activists, and SPOA
aimed to stop it.
Clearly,
we had much to lose in this referendum, but also much to gain. We knew
that a popular vote against rent control would be one more nail
in the coffin of rent control. As Cambridge political pundit Robert
Winters remarked after the vote: “This lopsided defeat probably
marks the permanent end of rent control as an issue in Cambridge.”
A
quiet landslide victory
After
what everyone called a very quiet campaign season for both the rent
control ballot question and a slew of City Council candidates, with
low voter turnout expected, Cambridge voters turned out in
larger-than-expected numbers and said a resounding “NO” to rent
control: 61.4% voted “no,” 38.6% voted “yes.” The high turnout
and landslide vote reflected not tenants, but the many homeowners who
came out to vote.
The
campaign was quiet in part, we believe, because tenants in general do
not care much about rent control anymore, and because activists did
almost nothing to awaken tenants to their cause. But just as
important, the campaign was quiet because SPOA did an intensive
“stealth” campaign directed almost exclusively at owners, using
direct mailings and phone calling.
A
direct-mail campaign
The
tenant activists’ message was simple (and naïve): Get cheap rents
because landlords are rich and greedy. Our campaign had to be intense
because our message was much more complicated: Rent control will trap
all Cambridge homeowners in specific ways – all hidden in the rent
control proposal’s fine print. Rent control will also hurt the city
generally – as virtually all economists agree – by forcing housing
deterioration, thereby reducing the city’s tax base, thereby forcing
cuts in city services. Higher property taxes on some would not be
enough to offset the property tax loss on drastically devalued
rent-controlled housing. We had to get this complicated message
through to many who considered themselves totally unaffected by rent
control.
To
convey our message, SPOA, under the banner of the Cambridge Homeowners
Coalition, a ballot question committee, sent out 16 different mailings
to various segments of Cambridge voters in the two months before the
November 4 vote. The critical set of mailings was a four-page letter
tailored and targeted to each class of homeowners – single-family,
condominium, two-family, three-family, and four-unit and larger owners
– that both summarized and detailed exactly how rent control would
hurt each owner group. If they did not trust our summary of the
outrageous ways rent control might affect them, we quoted those
portions of the petition’s fine print that applied just to them. So
important was this exact-impact message that we decided to send these
same mailings twice, except we changed the envelope cover
messages.
As
these mailings hit Cambridge homeowners twice in a row, several dozens
of volunteers came to campaign headquarters in our rented office space
in Cambridge’s Central Square and made hundreds upon hundreds of
“persuasion” phone calls to them, telling them of rent control’s
specific impact, getting them to read the mailed literature, getting
them to talk to their family and neighbors and “spread the word.”
With
the aid of hired campaign consultants and one early round of paid
professional phone calling, we were able to quickly identify
“yes,” “no,” and “undecided” homeowners and focus our
volunteer phone calling on the “undecided” ones. We soon knew
that, after those critical mailings, most undecided homeowners were
changing their minds in the direction of voting “no.” For example,
toward the end of the campaign, one volunteer got 31 out of 44
undecided single-family homeowners (the hardest group to convince) to
say “no,” while 10 remained undecided and only 3 said “yes.”
Near
the campaign’s end, we launched a succession of mailings, first
targeting the sizable but hard-to-convince condo and single-family
homeowners and then targeting all homeowners with a general message on
rent control’s harsh impact on the city’s tax base.<
In
a last-minute surprise, the usually very liberal Cambridge Chronicle,
the oldest of Cambridge’s weekly newspapers, editorialized against
rent control and urged voters to vote “no.” Afraid the many voters
had not seen the editorial, we rapidly mailed a post card quoting the
Chronicle’s surprise shift against rent control
Finally,
on Election Day, we did two rounds of paid phone calling that targeted
“no” and “undecided” voters in precincts we had identified as
strongly inclined to vote “no.” The phone callers reminded them to
vote and to vote “no.”
Trembling
on election night
So
we had done everything we could think of. We hired professional
election consultants who know how to “Get Out The Vote” (GOTV). We
paid professional phone-callers at the start of the campaign to
rapidly identify those voters on our side. Night after night at our
headquarters, we focused our SPOA volunteers on calling the undecided
voters to get them on our side, to get them to talk to their neighbors
and build up a word-of-mouth network. We paid professional
phone-callers again at the end of the campaign to call voters to get
them to vote. And costliest of all, throughout the campaign we sent
out mailing after mailing – sixteen in all – to each and every
group of owners, driving home our message.
Everything
seemed favorable, and the political gossip said we had bagged a
victory. Nevertheless, on election night, with fear in our hearts at
the thought that we might lose, we gathered at our customary meeting
place, the VFW Hall in West Cambridge, and waited anxiously for the
outcome. We still did not know for sure we would win in this
once-stronghold of pro-rent-control activism. If we did win, we did
not know by how much a margin we might win. Based on the 1994
statewide referendum, we could have expected only a slim margin of
victory, especially considering we were now fighting in the heart of
the most liberal city in the state.
Then
the landslide vote came in – 61% said “no” to rent control, just
38% said “yes.” Cheers filled the room. And to all of us
volunteers, an almost unbelievable victory had been achieved.
Cambridge had been turned around on the issue of rent control. Where
it once seemed an entrenched system that the city would never vote
out, now the city had voted overwhelmingly against any sort of return
of rent control.
The
ripple effect would also likely be great. Recent rumblings in Boston
suggested activists wanted to try once again to get a rent control
initiative going in Boston, despite the Boston City Council vote
rejecting it the year before (November 2002). This new Boston effort
now might be effectively squashed by this usually strong Cambridge
vote against rent control.
No
grassroots
This
campaign victory has some important lessons. The landslide outcome in
our favor showed, on the one hand, wide tenant apathy about rent
control and, on the other hand, deep homeowner concern about bringing
rent control back.
The
tenant activists must have expected that, once they got their rent
control question on the ballot, a blazing fire of support among
tenants would be automatically ignited. That expected tenant surge of
support never happened. And their bring-back-rent-control campaign was
itself very limited and fragmentary – a few handouts in Central
Square, a letter delivered here and there, a tag-along effort with one
zero-chance Council candidate, and – contrary to our expectations
– not even a last-minute “big-bang” mailing or literature drop
or media blitz. One tenant activist said they spent only $4,000. Their
free lawyers from Cambridge-Somerville Legal Services had drafted the
referendum petition and defended them when hundreds of their petition
signatures were challenged. But legal back-up does not create the
grassroots movement that is needed to win an election. As we
suspected, the activists behind this rent control referendum were a
small fringe group of radicals with no communication network among
tenants in general. In sum, ten years after rent control left
Cambridge, the tenant movement had withered rapidly – and there is
now no grassroots tenant movement.
The
true grassroots
And
now, in the People’s Republic of Cambridge (if it can still be
called that), there is a grassroots homeowner movement. It
began with Cambridge’s small landlords, who revolted and launched
the successful 1994 repeal of rent control. It was followed by a wider
revolt of homeowners, who persuaded the Cambridge City Council in 1999
to derail a condo conversion ban with strong tinges of rent control.
And it culminated in this latest, much broader base of homeowners, who
trekked out in unusual numbers on a rainy, bitter-cold day to say
“NO” to a regressive return to rent control.
And
behind this grassroots homeowner movement is the Small Property Owners
Association, carefully maintaining its large membership, keeping its
members donating regularly, alerting its members to the threats that
come in all directions, and being prepared – as it was this fall –
to launch an all-out effort to defeat the most serious danger of all
– a popular election on the very issue of rent control itself.
To read more election analysis, click
here.
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